Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.782423 0.917098 1.062555 1.230684 1.418997 1.622749 1.859192
2025-08-10 0.545367 0.727333 0.943318 1.215350 1.545389 1.929347 2.406075
2025-08-17 0.380525 0.575411 0.828322 1.172518 1.619968 2.172865 2.897658
2025-08-24 0.286477 0.486553 0.767902 1.177253 1.740836 2.471840 3.471705
2025-08-31 0.217075 0.412917 0.710132 1.169812 1.835673 2.736196 4.012809
2025-09-07 0.178182 0.375015 0.694233 1.213995 1.998849 3.096373 4.696595
2025-09-14 0.145512 0.338542 0.672356 1.242754 2.137499 3.426823 5.353981
2025-09-21 0.112036 0.291178 0.623162 1.219768 2.192701 3.637482 5.850610
2025-09-28 0.092947 0.266454 0.607779 1.247679 2.325020 3.964123 6.524425
2025-10-05 0.077223 0.244220 0.592494 1.272276 2.451374 4.285819 7.202661
2025-10-12 0.064015 0.223653 0.576396 1.292223 2.569413 4.598416 7.878156
2025-10-19 0.051605 0.200855 0.551419 1.291935 2.651480 4.856847 8.480163
2025-10-26 0.038792 0.172437 0.510089 1.257328 2.674589 5.028057 8.965247
2025-11-02 0.030674 0.154420 0.488433 1.258595 2.761010 5.306200 9.629613
2025-11-09 0.022465 0.131728 0.450658 1.221604 2.774047 5.463088 10.108342
2025-11-16 0.017812 0.119243 0.435369 1.229511 2.869769 5.761207 10.822257
2025-11-23 0.013652 0.106004 0.414941 1.223092 2.936692 6.012110 11.467535
2025-11-30 0.011684 0.101473 0.417761 1.269401 3.108872 6.451707 12.436494
2025-12-07 0.009647 0.095141 0.413911 1.299425 3.250072 6.842065 13.335606
2025-12-14 0.007014 0.082951 0.389065 1.275722 3.280299 7.035875 13.911167
2025-12-21 0.005738 0.077901 0.385824 1.304675 3.420255 7.431639 14.839363
2025-12-28 0.004640 0.072891 0.381489 1.330165 3.554097 7.820789 15.767027
2026-01-04 0.003690 0.067815 0.375624 1.350828 3.678506 8.196672 16.681980